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未来三天雨水“加戏” 注意防范短时强降水 台风“胚胎”扎堆 “沙德尔” 会不会直奔江浙沪？_我的网站

A |     WELLINGTON, New Zealand -- New Zealand's immigration numbers have hit an all-time high, enabling employers to fill jobs but also putting pressure on the housing market, according to economists.The net number of immigrants was 110,000 in the year ending August, beating the previous high of 103,000 set a month earlier, according to figures released Wednesday by Statistics New Zealand. The numbers represent a big turnaround after more people left New Zealand than arrived during much of the COVID-19 pandemic.“We are talking very, very big numbers for a small economy like ours,” said Jarrod Kerr, chief economist at Kiwibank. Kerr said the surge likely reflected pent-up demand that had built during the pandemic. He said it had come as a relief to employers, who last year were having great difficulty finding skilled workers to fill vacant roles.New Zealand's unemployment rate remains at a relatively low 3.6%. But Kerr also cautioned the migrants would need a lot of resources, including tens of thousands of homes — something that remained in short supply.The figures show the greatest number of immigrants came from India, followed by Philippines and China. The total number of immigrants reached a record 225,000 during the year while the number of New Zealanders leaving also neared record levels, at 115,000.The figures included a net loss of nearly 43,000 New Zealand citizens, many of whom were lured to Australia with offers of better pay. Under a reciprocal arrangement, New Zealanders and Australians can live and work in either country. “Unfortunately, we lose trained, smart individuals,” Kerr said. “That is something that worries us.”The figures were released three days before New Zealand holds a general election, although immigration hasn't been a major campaign issue. Both main parties have focused on the soaring cost-of-living, tax cuts and crime. ___Follow AP's global migration coverage at https://apnews.com/hub/migration。

B |     昨天，杭州告别了之前的短暂晴好，一早便上演了“变脸”大戏，前一秒还是白云飘飘，后一秒就乌云压顶，阵雨随机出现。同时，副热带高压断裂，气温收起了往日的“嚣张”，主城区最高温仅31.1℃。接下来，随着东风带系统逐渐影响，降水成为天气舞台“主角”，这个周末大概率要“泡汤”。

C | 据浙江天气网消息，未来七天，天气剧本“跌宕起伏”。今天雨水继续在沿海地区“加戏”，部分大到暴雨、个别大暴雨；明天降水范围还将进一步扩大，部分地区中到大雨、局部暴雨；有雷雨的地区，短时暴雨和7-9级雷暴大风仍是“标配”。杭州市气象台预计，未来三天多阵雨或雷雨天气，其中，今天中午到夜里局部有短时暴雨，雷雨时局地有6～8级雷雨大风等对流性天气。

D | 一直到周日，浙江将处在副热带高压的边缘，东风气流依旧活跃，风力不小，天气则在晴雨之间来回切换。

E | 好在，气温相对温和，最高气温维持在30~33℃之间，体感尚算舒适。值得注意的是，真正的“转折”等到下周二后期至下周三（25—26日）——副热带高压将再次“卷土重来”，北抬西伸，阳光重新成为舞台主角，全省以多云天气为主，午后仅偶有分散性雷阵雨“客串”。届时，熟悉的“晴热配方”又将回归，气温再度攀升，部分地区最高气温或将突破35℃高温线。除了眼前的雨热变化，天气舞台上的“捣蛋鬼”也蠢蠢欲动。

F | 据中国天气网消息，目前，西太平洋上有多个热带系统正在活跃，其中南海热带低压和台湾东侧热带扰动距离较近，今年第18号台风“沙德尔”较远，但强度较强。未来“沙德尔”将怎么发展？会不会直奔江浙沪？中国天气网表示，“沙德尔”自周三上午生成后一直保持热带风暴级别，但今天开始强度将不断升级，预计最强可达超强台风级，目前“沙德尔”距离较远，未来5天对我国海域暂无影响。不过，下周三（26日）之后，“沙德尔”可能会经过琉球群岛移入我国东海，随后或在华东沿海登陆，或折向偏北方向移动。中国天气网气象分析师唐晓静表示，“沙德尔”后期路径主要取决于副热带高压的强度和形态。若北方冷空气南下，迫使副热带高压东退并减弱，“沙德尔”会被其引导北上远离我国；若副热带高压维持目前的带状形态，则将阻挡它向北移动，从而西行直奔我国华东沿海。预计要到下周，台风“沙德尔”的走势才会明朗，请保持密切关注。另外，截至目前，今年以来西北太平洋和南海共有18个台风生成，比常年同期明显偏多，其中有4个登陆我国。若8月底“沙德尔”登陆我国，登陆总数将上升至5个，将超过常年同期。从中国天气网盘点的历史数据来看，西北太平洋和南海一年四季都可能有台风生成，8月台风生成的数量与登陆我国的个数均居于全年首位。

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